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The method works by placing a central change or issue at the core of the diagram — for example, a new policy, a social trend, or a strategic decision — and then working outward in layers. The first ring captures direct, first-order consequences; from each of those, a second ring of second-order consequences is generated, and so on — surfacing implications beyond the immediate and obvious, and helping develop an understanding of causality through ripple effects. | The method works by placing a central change or issue at the core of the diagram — for example, a new policy, a social trend, or a strategic decision — and then working outward in layers. The first ring captures direct, first-order consequences; from each of those, a second ring of second-order consequences is generated, and so on — surfacing implications beyond the immediate and obvious, and helping develop an understanding of causality through ripple effects. | ||
|short-description=Some forecasting can't be done by looking into an weather app. This tool helps you to capture possible scenarios of what could happen in your neighbourhood. | |||
|hypothesis=Lack of vision by local and national politicians | |hypothesis=Lack of vision by local and national politicians | ||
|lock-in-layers=institutional | |lock-in-layers=institutional | ||
Latest revision as of 12:58, 29 September 2026
The Futures Wheel is a visual foresight and brainstorming tool invented by American futurist Jerome C. Glenn in 1971, designed to graphically map the primary, secondary, and tertiary consequences of a specific event, trend, or change using a circular diagram with concentric rings radiating from a central hub.
The method works by placing a central change or issue at the core of the diagram — for example, a new policy, a social trend, or a strategic decision — and then working outward in layers. The first ring captures direct, first-order consequences; from each of those, a second ring of second-order consequences is generated, and so on — surfacing implications beyond the immediate and obvious, and helping develop an understanding of causality through ripple effects.
Lack of vision by local and national politicians
institutional
Governance incumbency
Lack of a vision for change
medium
medium
flexible
no
Vision
NGOs/ local interest groups, Local government, Local administration
english