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|lock-in-layers=institutional | |lock-in-layers=institutional | ||
|lock-in-cluster=Governance incumbency | |lock-in-cluster=Governance incumbency | ||
|challenges=Lack of a vision for change | |||
|tool-maturity-level=TML5 | |tool-maturity-level=TML5 | ||
|link-information=https://knowledgeworks.org/resources/futures-thinking-now-futures-wheels/ | |link-information=https://knowledgeworks.org/resources/futures-thinking-now-futures-wheels/ | ||
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|spatial-context=flexible | |spatial-context=flexible | ||
|spatial-limitation=no | |spatial-limitation=no | ||
|visualisation=Futures-wheel-hi-res-1536x1372.png | |visualisation=Futures-wheel-hi-res-1536x1372.png | ||
|visualisation-author=knowledgeworks.org | |||
|tool-type=Vision | |tool-type=Vision | ||
|toolbox-user-types=NGOs/ local interest groups, Local government, Local administration | |||
|language=english | |language=english | ||
|target-group=local/district administration, local politicians, city administration, city politicians | |||
|empowerment-strategy=shared knowledge generation, shared communication of narratives | |empowerment-strategy=shared knowledge generation, shared communication of narratives | ||
}} | }} | ||
Latest revision as of 12:15, 22 July 2026
The Futures Wheel is a visual foresight and brainstorming tool invented by American futurist Jerome C. Glenn in 1971, designed to graphically map the primary, secondary, and tertiary consequences of a specific event, trend, or change using a circular diagram with concentric rings radiating from a central hub.
The method works by placing a central change or issue at the core of the diagram — for example, a new policy, a social trend, or a strategic decision — and then working outward in layers. The first ring captures direct, first-order consequences; from each of those, a second ring of second-order consequences is generated, and so on — surfacing implications beyond the immediate and obvious, and helping develop an understanding of causality through ripple effects.
Lack of vision by local and national politicians
institutional
Governance incumbency
Lack of a vision for change
medium
medium
flexible
no
Vision
NGOs/ local interest groups, Local government, Local administration
english